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Posts tagged ‘Robert DeNiro’

British Oscars, the BAFTAS ~ What will they mean? If anything…

So tomorrow over in Blighty, the BAFTAs will be announced. The last major precursor award before the Oscars themselves, which are held on Feb.24.

Being socked in and basically locked in by the Blizzard of 2013, gives one time to really ruminate on the BAFTAS. It’s broadcast live in London, but here it can only be seen online. Check out http://www.awardsdaily.com to see if it’s live streaming there, or if not, they will tell you what, where and when to find it.

So, who’s going to win at the BAFTAS? And will they mean anything at all to Oscar?
Like, for instance, Robert De Niro isn’t nominated for Best Supporting Actor for “Silver Linings Playbook.” I think De Niro has the momentum at the Oscars, but since he’s not nominated, then who? Some say German actor Christophe Waltz for “Django Unchained,” why? Because he’s a European,Then there’s the other nominees from the states Tommy Lee Jones for “Lincoln”, Phillip Seymour Hoffman for “The Master” and Alan Arkin for “Argo.”

They’ve nominated Ben Affleck for BOTH Best Actor AND Best Directorand also “Argo” for Best Picture! So they really like “Argo,” and I suspect it will prevail in both picture and Director, but if Ben Affleck wins Best Actor! LOOK OUT!

He’s up of course against Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln”, who may be the only BAFTA winner for “Lincoln” since Steven Spielberg isn’t even nominated here! But on the other hand, OTOH, as they say in Internet-speak, if DDL doesn’t win here and either Affleck or Hugh Jackman does, this could be the last nail in the boring, talky “Lincoln”s coffin. Hey! It could happen!

Likewise a win for Alan Arkin for “Argo” could signal a sweep is going on and that’s what’s going to happen the rest of the night.

But since the Weinstein monkeys are working like cra-zee over there, they’ve still got two entrants in Supporting Actor, PSH for “The Master” and Waltz for “Django Unchained”, so either could win. As in American, Supp. Actor at the BAFTAs is really too close to call. Although that’s what I’m supposed to do. So I’ll call it for Waltz, simply because it’s another Harvey Weinstein situation there.

And Anne Hathaway has best supporting actress sewn up there, for “Les Miserables” mais oui, as she has it here.

But Best Actress is really the one to watch. If 85-year-old Emmanuelle Riva wins for the French language film “Amour” over Jennifer Lawrence for “SLP” and Jessica Chastain for “Zero Dark Thirty,” that win and Riva’s acceptance speech could really impact the Best Actress race here. But then again, if she doesn’t show up. But still wins anyway, it probably will not have the same impact, as if the still comely octogenarian French icon wins, is there to accept, and moves every one to tears, as she probably will, with a lovely French-accented acceptance speech.

Remember that BAFTA is really where Marion Cotillard, also acting in French in a French-speaking film “La Vie En Rose”, won, and moved the whole world with HER acceptance speech, setting herself up very nicely for her Oscar win a few weeks later.

This is prime Oscar voting time, the balloting being opened only YESTERDAY, Friday. And who watches the BAFTAS? Well, the Academy members who are still undecided about who to vote for in tumultuous races, like this year’s Best Actress assuredly is.

So I guess you could reduce this all to say “How many awards will ‘Argo’ win?” and who wins Best Actress? Riva, Lawrence or even Chastain? We shall very soon see.

Oscar ~ Supp. Actor Race Gets Crazy!

It seems to me that the Supporting Actor Oscar Race this year is getting crazier and crazier by the minute!

Or maybe it’s just H. Weinstein doing the Oscar voodoo, that he do so well. OK. He DOES so well.

He can be seen on http://www.Hollywood-elswhere.com Jeff Well’s great site in a video giving a speech on behalf of “Silver Linings Playbook” where he equates voting for Robert De Niro for Best Supporting Actor for that film with 9/11!!! No! I’m not making this up. He made Robert De Niro sound like a heroic New York figure, like Rudi Guiliani, who was the mayor at the time. But y’kknow, something? He’s right!

Harvey was waxing eloquent about Robert De Niro’s creation of the Tribecca Film Festival and how it helped re-vitalize the devastated lower portion of Manhattan. Which is actually TRUE!

De Niro has contributed untold amounts of this life and his money into better-ing film life, esp. independent film life in this city. And by extension, everywhere.

And there is Harvey saying that”Robert De Niro has not won an Oscar in 32 years”which is almost the exact same line he used to get Meryl Streep her un-expected third Oscar last year for that dreadful “Iron Lady” movie. In which, yes, she was great…but that film…

And then you turn the dial and find Robert De Niro breaking down crying on Katie Couric’s new talk show. The biggest boost HER career has gotten since Sarah Palin.
And THAT video has gone viral, too.

And then…on the West Coast, Harvey’s got Robert De Niro putting his hands and feet-prints- into cement in front of Grauman’s Chinese in Hollywood! Now that’s a sight I thought I would never see!!!Robert De Niro on all-fours with his ass in the air! I’m not kidding! The pictures are all on Hollywood-elswhere.And elsewhere on the Internet. Everywhere on the Internet as a matter of fact.

Robert De Niro is getting the full-on Harvey Weinstein/Oscar treatment. How can anyone win against him? I mean, who else can even remember the other nominees, at this point.

And yes, all the things that Harvey was saying about De Niro’s contribution to film and the life of New York City ARE TRUE!!! Have any of the other nominees in that category, all of whom also have Oscars already(DeNiro has two) can even compete?

It seems like Harvey’s sent his other TWO nominees in that category into hiding. That would be Christophe Waltz in “Django Unchained” and Phillip Seymour Hoffman in “The Master.” Seems like they’ve been put into a witness protection program!

The BAFTAS this Sunday might reveal SOMEthing but Robert De Niro is not going to win there. He’s not even nominated.

That Katie Couric interview!!!!

I suppose you could say it was hype for “Silver Linings Playbook” which is, lest we forget, also nominated for Best Picture. And it’s director David O. Russell, was sitting also on Katie’s big white coach, next to Bradley Cooper, next to the weeping Deniro.

The subject was how important “Silver Linings Playbook” is to the acceptance and understanding of mental illness. WHAT A SPIN!

And what a change of story for this previously described delightful/sexy romcom romp with also nominated and supposed front-runner Jennifer Lawrence, well, you’d never know it from Katie’s Show. It made “Silver Linings Playbook” look like it was “The Snake Pit”, which it isn’t. Where was Jennifer Lawrence? Is she now being HIDDEN?Has she gone into Harvey’s Wit-less Protection Program, too? In her case, saying something that might be, er, mis-interpreted as she nears the winner’s circle in THAT race. I thought she already had that sewn up? Or is this SUPER LONG LULL period before the voting begins on Friday changing the Race yet again? I think it is.

She should’ve been on that show, too. But here is Harvey everywhere, pushing Bobby D.!Who historically hates this sort of thing. However, Harvey’s been historically effective with this full-throttle assault on the Supporting Categories before…so…

Does he think that De Niro and the film and director O.Russell and the film, and Bradley Cooperand the film need his help this desperately? Well, I guess yes. When you consider the juggernaut that “Argo” has turned into. And tits-and-ass JLaw would distract from the film’s new-found VERY serious message about manic-depression?

But if it REALLY is an “Argo” sweep, the fifth nominee Alan Arkin could be swept in, too….Well, we’ll see what the BAFTAs do this weekend.If the BAFTAS are at all relevant this crazy year! I’m beginning to think that even Daniel Day Lewis might be vulnerable now…As the season wears on and on and on and the voting does not start til Friday!

Lot’s of time for Oscar voters to THINK(always a dangerous proposition in Hollywood)
And for Harvey Weinstein to CAMPAIGN!

But there’s Never a dull moment when Harvey’s around.

And this all would be soooo boring without him.

AND nobody does this better than he.

Buteven HE couldn’t get Geoffrey Rush and Helena Bonham-Carter Supporting Oscar wins for “The King’s Speech” the year when it seemed destined to win EVERYthing… So he’s NOT infallible, but…
Everything he said about Robert De Niro’s being a hero of New York is TRUE.

SAG Awards and PGA this weekend! Predictions!

It’s a big weekend in the Awards Calendar as Oscar draws ever nearer… The PGA (The Producers Guild of America) announces who they picked as Best Picture of 2012 on Sat. And as if that weren’t enough excitement on Sunday, we have the always exciting, always misleading SAG Awards. The Screen Actors Guild.

Some of the members of these guilds are in the Academy. A lot of them. But more importantly the producers have a list of ten. The Oscar only nominated nine. And while the producers picked “Skyfall”, the Academy didn’t and dropped “Moonrise Kingdom” but picked up “Amour.” But even MORE importantly they use a preferential ballot, which is what the Oscars do with Best Picture. But ONLY Best Picture.

Every other Oscar category is by a simple majority. IOW, whoever gets the most votes wins.

The Prefentials Ballot is Sooooo complicated I will defer to Oscar Goddess Sasha Stone at the superior and ever-essential http://www.awardsdaily.com to let her and the great Steve Pond of http://www.thewrap.com explain THAT particular kettles of thorns.

I’m mixing metaphors, but I don’t mince words.

So IOW the Producer’s Guild with its large voting body is more of an approximate cross-section of the Academy’s. So whoever they choose as their winner on Sat. may very well tell the tale of who or what is going to win Best Picture.

And I think, like the Hollywood Foreign Press and the Broadcast Film Critics that they are going to go with “Argo.” Ben Affleck who was notoriously snubbed by the Academy for Best Director, as was Katheryn Bigelow, is riding high right now on a wave of monumental sympathy for this snub. And the PGA may very well correct this.

The SAGs, being a mass of many thousands of actors, is a little harder to predict correctly. They follow their own star. I would like to think that my personal favorite “Les Miserables” may pull a surprise upset here and win their Best Ensemble award. Best Ensemble is the SAGs way of saying Best Picture. And “Les Mis” certainly had a great ensemble, in my book.

I would love to see Hugh Jackman win for “Les Miserables” and best Daniel Day-Lewis for his boring performance in the bore-to-end-all-bores “Lincoln.” “Lincoln” has the most nominations across all these awards bodies and consistently lost. To “Argo”!

All the controversy that is still swirling around “Zero Dark Thirty” is going to make it very hard to win ANYTHING I think. Coupled with the fact that I don’t think Sony sent out that screener to the voting membership of SAG. Sony is also losing its’ headquarter building in Manhattan. 550 Madison. The beautiful Phillip Johnson-designed stunner that once-upon-a-time was the AT&T building. They’ve got bigger problems, obviously, then sorting out ZDT’s Awards’ chances.

Which I think is going to leave Jessica Chastain out in the cold.

Losing to most likely Jennifer Lawrence in”Silver Linings Playbook”, if Harvey Weinstein has his way. Or to Naomi Watts, if he doesn’t.

I think HW WILL prevail in the Best Supporting Actor category with Robert DeNiro, who has never won a SAG award, believe it or not.(His best work pre-dates SAGs Awards) And that would be also for “Silver Linings Playbook.” Are we seeing a pattern form here?

And lastly Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress for “Les Miserabales” is as locked as Christopher Plummer was last year for HIS first ever Oscar win at age 82 for “Beginners.”

Best Ensemble ~ I HOPE it’s “Les Mis” but it just might be “Argo” like the BFCA and the Golden Globes, or it could be “Silver Linings Playbook.” THAT one’s a real toss-up.

More predictive is the PGA on Sat.

Will I live-blog the SAGs on Sunday? Probably. Do check in.

Who Will Harvey Pick? He’s Got THREE Best Supp. Actors

It’s raining/sleeting/snowing in NYC, but to continue with my train of thought since the last post… Who will Harvey Weinstein pick of his threesome of Best Supporting Actors to push, push, push to Oscar gold?

I guess it was noticed that Phillip Seymour Hoffman was MIA to pick up, or even show up, for the Awards shows this past week. I think he’s rather furious that he’s been relegated to Supporting Actor, for what clearly was a co-lead in the flop “The Master.” So he’s not being super-co-operative. Or PSH is seeing the handwriting on the wall and it’s not spelling HIS name.

I think it’s spelling Robert Deniro’s. Yes, for the audience-friendly “Silver Linings Playbook,” which is only now going wide.The box-office for “SLP” has not being overwhelming to say the least. It’s a difficult, quirky comedy. Or dramedy. And it’s a small, domestic-arguement kind of film. It doesn’t have the range or scope of the epics of this year, “Les Miserables”, or “Argo” or “Zero Dark Thirty” or “Lincoln.”

The “Lincoln” camp is quaking in their boots. Getting “Hilary Clinton’s husband,”to quote the super sharp Amy Poehler, the evening’s resoundingly successful co-host (along with Tina Fey), to introduce the “Lincoln” clip was the act of a desperate group of people. In this case, Disney. They NEVER have run a successful Oscar campaign. Look at how they botched “The Help” last year.

Their sledge-hammer approach cost Viola Davis her Oscar bid last year. They got Best Supporting Actress for “The Help”s Octavia Spenser, but Best Supp. ANYthing is always considered by the Academy as a consolation prize. It’s just not as important as Best ACTOR and Best ACTRESS and now, this year, Best Director.

Liked Anne Hathaway’s seeming slam-dunk lock for “Les Miserables” That category is effectively closed. Give it up, Sally Field.

But back to Harvey. HE KNOWS how to run an Oscar campaign, and he’s relentless in its’ pursuit. Only this year’s ponies, as my idol Tom O’Neil would say over at http://www.goldderby.com, are not the thoroughbreds he was pushing in the past two historic years when he had “The Artist” and “The King’s Speech.” “SLP” is just NOT as good a film as the two recent Oscar winners, who were both Weinstein Co. productions.

Personally, I think he’s going to go after “Silver Linings Playbook” anyway for the win. Or as many wins as he can get for it. Main among them, Jennifer Lawrence for Best Actress. She already just won Best Actress Comedy at the Globes, but that was ALLLL “SLP” won, no matter how hard Harvey & Co. were campaigning for it. Next up, the SAG Awards, for which Robert Deniro IS nominated, in Supp.

And that means the twice-Oscared, but never SAGed DeNiro could be looking at HIS third Oscar and HE’S campaigning! Something he NEVER does.IOW, he’s co-operating with Harvey’s Oscar vision for “SLP”.

HW COULD prevail for DeNiro, who, let’s face it is a bona fide Oscar legend, and we’ll just see who out of the current Weinstein Co. stable DOES win Best Supporting Actor.

The co-operative Christophe Waltz won his second Golden Globe in two years, thanks to Harvey, for “Django Unchained.” And who gives the Best Performance out of Hoffman, DeNiro and Waltz. I’d say it was Waltz. And that may happen at the Oscars, too. He may duplicate his win as will, I think Quentin Tarantino in Best Original Screenplay.

Harvey Weinstein KNOWS how to run an Oscar campaign. Disney does not. And Neither does Fox, who has “Life of Pi” and also neither does Universal, who has “Les Miserables” which SHOULD be the winner IMHO. But alllll these majors, the studios, just aren’t USED to winning Oscars anymore. It’s like they were all born yesterday and only Harvey and the Weinstein Co. know what they are doing….And that’s just the way it is this year, ladies and gente-persons, dear readers, dear cineastes.

Except for the fly in the ointment, “Argo”.

You can’t have TWO Davids v. one Goliath. Like “SLP” AND “Argo” v. Goliath “Lincoln.” So which of “Argo” and “SLP” is the “Little Film That Could”? The Oscar question of the morning.

Oscar Nomination Voting Closes! They BETTER nominate Samuel L.Jackson! Supp. Actor Predix!

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