a.k.a. "The Oscar Messenger"

Posts tagged ‘Oscar. Oscar Buzz’

Oscar Chances of Cate Blanchett ~ Too much, too soon?

Oscar is such a fickle little devil. If the Academy Awards were held tomorrow, Cate Blanchett would win in a walk for “Blue Jasmine”, ANOTHER astonishing Woody Allen movie with an unforgettable performance by Cate the Great.

Plusses ~ All the rave reviews, and the staggering performance itself.

Minuses ~ All this Oscar brouhaha is WWWAAAY toooo soon in the Oscar season. Sony Pictures Classics has to keep “Blue Jasmine”, a rare, exotic flower blooming til the holidays.For a film that’s only playing now in two cities that’s no mean feat.

Minuses ~ Sony Pictures Classics is NOT the Weinstein Co.

If this were one of Harvey’s girls she WOULD win. Lest not forget that the last woman to win for an Oscar for a Woody film was the beauteous, unforgettable, explosive Penelope Cruz in “Vicki Cristina Barcelona” But that was a WEINSTEIN Co. release! You’ve GOTTA have Harvey…Sony Pictures classics is not known for nailing WINS. But nailing nominations, yes. See Emmanuelle Riva’s near miss last year for “Amour.” She got the nomination, yes, and some major critics’ awards,but…she lost to last year’s Harvey girl, Jennifer Lawrence.

Minuses ~ She’s playing Ruth Madoff

Plusses ~ She makes you LIKE her.

Plusses- It’s a complex, intelligent career-capping role that people will be talking about as long as they discuss Cate Blanchett.

Pluses ~ She had AN HOUR-long chat with Charlie Rose, who gave her the ENTIRE program.

Minuses ~ By the end of the hour, she and Charlie got soooo abstract and convoluted, they completely lost me. And I’m sure many others too. And Academy voters watch Charlie Rose like a hawk.

Minuses ~ She looks like she’ll be up against two OTHER Aussie homegirls, Nicole Kidman for “Grace of Monaco” playing the late Princess, who died tragically in an auto accident. AND that other wonderful Australian actress Naomi Watts in “Diana” about another blonde royal, the late Princess of Wales, who also dies tragically in an car crash. THREE Australian Best Actress nominees? WHEN has that ever happened before? And it is a good thing? Will they split the Australian vote? IS there an Australian vote?

Minuses – Meryl Streep will very likely be nominated for the vicious, drug-addicted mother who you love to hate in “August: Osage County.” a Weinstein Co. production that’s heading straight to the Toronto Film Festival, as are “Grace” and “Diana”. This would leave Meryl the only American actress in this category, although she already has THREE other Oscars. The fifth slot I’m guessing is going to Berenice Bejo for “The Past” ANOTHER of Harvey’s films. And she would be in the now traditional French actress slot. We see it every year now. This film will also be at Toronto…Or it could be ANOTHER French actress Julie Delpy, who stars in and who also co-wrote the “Sunrise/Sunset/Midnight” trilogy. She was nominated before for a Best Screenplay. And Berenice Bejo was also previously nominated for Best Supporting Actress for “The Artist.”

And of course, we must not forget the Babe Factor. The pretty young thing who sweeps in from seemingly nowhere and makes the Academy of collective Old White Rich Men fall in love with her and takes the prize, again, like Jennifer Lawrence did last year. This could be the surprising and gorgeous American Beauty Amanda Seyfried who unbelievably breaks your heart as Linda Lovelace in “Lovelace.” And Radius is behind “Lovelace” which is Harvey Weinstein’s Co., too.

<So LOOK OUT!

A completely empty playing field is going to be SLAMMED in about a month’s time by alllll these female centric movies playing at TIFF and also, some of them at Telluride.

Will I get to TIFF this year to talk to all these great ladies? I hope so. I’m trying my hardest, but I’ll certainly be seeing all four of these acclaimed-already, buzzed-about movies…

So Cate the Great AND especially Sony Pictures Classics REALLY have their work cut out for them.

Cate already has an Oscar. But then so does Nicole and Meryl has three.

It’s Cate’s to lose, as they say. But SPC has a history of stumbling at the end game.

It could be Cate, but…

 

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Gerard Butler’s “Machine Gun Preacher” mows down the Oscar competition at TIFF!

Is it only Day Three? I feel like I’ve been here, at TIFF, my entire life! You enter into a Festival Time Warp (when a film festival is really working right and you’re out-of-town, especially) It’s a Film Festival Bubble that in some major ways you never want to burst. And return to reality but TIFF’s magic is in ¬†full swing now. I think in the real world, it’s Saturday evening,and I’ve got to head out momentarily to the tres swank Unifrance party. Always a high point.

But ANOTHER high-point for sure was interviewing the great Gerard Butler today and telling him that ( I hope) he’s going to be going to the Oscars come February for the unforgettable “Machine Gun Preacher” which also is going to get a boatload of Oscar considerations in all categories.

You heard it here, first, folks. “Machine Gun Preacher” is one of the best film of the year, and Oscar may very well agree.

I predict that the Academy will not be able to resist the emotional powerhouse that is”Machine Gun Preacher.” And they certainly are not going to be able to resist the idea that Gerard Butler comes into his own as a magnificent screen actor whose acting chops match any one this or any Oscar season.

Playing a Real Life Action Hero and Savior of hundreds of lives in the war torn worst areas of Africa, Butler totally comes into his own and scares you to death in the first part of the film, where he plays a for-real criminal, and then morphs throughout the film into one of the most heroic men you’ll ever know of.

And I got to meet and interview the real life Lee Childers, who is a former career criminal and Pennsylvania red-neck and now is beyond reproach as someone is fighting the incredible fight in Africa. I can’t stop thinking about this movie! And you won’t either!

And neither will the Academy!

I got to tell Lee Childers, the screenwriter, director Marc Forster and Gerard Butler this news myself.
In person. This morning. At the Toronto International Film Festival.

I never thought I could realistically top my telling Colin Firth and director Tom Hooper of the “King’s Speech” that they were going to be winning Oscars that coming winter, only last year. This was also in the first days of the Toronto Film Festival. They were flabbergasted at the news. But yes, I was right. It was true. They did win.

And you can see me telling them this at http://www.youtube.com/StephenHoltShow

And very soon next week or sooner, I hope you’ll be able to see me work the same Oscar Messenger magic with “Machine Gun Preacher” on my You Tube Channel as well, with all these interviews I am so happy to be describing.

Let’s face it. George Clooney has already GOT an Oscar. And he’s got TWO movies here at TIFF vying for Oscar’s attention. “The Ides of March” and “The Descendants” They could easily cancel each other out. Tom Hanks, being directed by Stephen Daldry in the upcoming 9/11 drama, has already got TWO Oscars and these two along with Jean DuJardin of “The Artist” are so far Gerard Butler’s competition for Best Actor nods. Oh, yes, and Ryan Gosling too for “Drive” OR “The Ides of March.”

George was campaigning madly at Telluride evidently earlier this month, but…

Gerard Butler has not been nominated ever and he’s the right age and at the right point in his career to receive this honor. and recognition. I hope he gets it.

“Machine Gun Preacher” is going to be a film that this year, the Academy won’t be able to ignore.

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