Midnight in Paris
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
My Week With Marilyn
In a year where there could be as little as five and as many as 10 Best Pictures, I’m going to split the difference and say 8.
JEAN DU JARDIN “The Artist”
GEORGE CLOONEY “The Descendants”
BRAD PITT “Moneyball”
LEONARDO DI CAPRIO “J.Edgar”
DAMIAN BECHIR “A Better Life”
I think the S.W.O.R.M. the Straight White Old Rich Men who are let’s face it, the majority of the AMPAS voters are not gonna be OK with Michael Fassbender’s full frontal EXTENSIVE nudity through “Shame”, but WILL be OK with Mexican actor Damien Bichir’s heart-wrenching portryal of a good father/gardener working in the Palm Trees of L.A.
MICHELLE WILLIAMS “My Week With Marilyn”
MERYL STREEP “The Iron Lady”
GLENN CLOSE “Albert Nobbs”
VIOLA DAVIS “The Help”
ROONEY MARA “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
I think that late opener “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” which is nearing the $100 million mark domestic is going to be on a lot of voters’ minds. And this will be a kind of pay back to David Fincher & crew for NOT winning last year and the biggest beneficiary of this will be leading actress Rooney Mara, for her bravura turn as Lisbeth Salander. And the person she’ll knock out is not the revered Glenn Close, who has been struggling to get “Albert Nobbs” made for over 20 years, or more, but Tilda Swinton, who HAS an Oscar already.
Best Suporting Actor
CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER “Beginners”
KENNETH BRANAGH “My Week with Marilyn”
ARMIE HAMMER “J.Edgar”
COREY STOLL “Midnight in Paris”
JONAH HILL “Moneyball”
This is the hardest category to predict this year with the prospective nominees jumping all over the place, like Mexican Jumping Beans throughout the precursor awards. And no, Damien Bichir is NOT in this category. I think SAG nominee Armie Hammer will pop up here as he did in SAG, and knock out Albert Brooks who was snubbed by SAG AND BAFTA. And also they’re going to nominate SOMEBODY from “Midnight in Paris” besides Woody and Corey Stoll’s Ernest Hemingway made the strongest impression in that gigantic ensemble.
I hate to say it, but I’m putting Jonah Hill in because he was in the movie, “Moneyball” that the most voters will probably have seen and because by the same token they WON’T have watched Nick Nolte in “Warriors.”
Best Supporting Actress
VANESSA REDGRAVE “Coriolanus”
OCTAVIA SPENCER “The Help”
JESSICA CHASTAIN “The Help”
BERENICE BEJO “The Artist”
JANET McTEER “Albert Nobbs”
I think Vanessa Redgrave’s towering performance in “Coriolanus” will FINALLY turn up here, as it hasn’t so far anywhere else. The Harvey factor is in play here and yes, it’s a Weinstein Co. movie. As is “The Artist” as is “The Iron Lady” as is “My Week with Marilyn.”
Michel Hazanaviscius “The Artist”
Alexander Payne “The Descendants”
Martin Scorcese “Hugo”
Woody Allen “Midnight in Paris”
David Fincher “The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo”
I think this will match the DGA nominees(the Directors’ Guild) five for five.
And on Tuesday morning we’ll see. I predict the steamroller of “The Artist” will continue with its’ getting the most nominations of any other film. And for a 90 min. Black and White SILENT film made for only $12million, it’s a phenomenal run that is STILL just getting started!