a.k.a. "The Oscar Messenger"

Posts tagged ‘Boyhood’

Big Awards Weekend Coming Up~PGA & SAG

Oscar & tilesBig Awards Weekend coming up FAST! It’s the PGA(Producer’s Guild) followed by the SAG Awards on Sunday night. Why are the PGA awards or AWARD, really, soooo important? But in this, which is supposed to be a wide open year( or not), if “Boyhood” wins the coveted PGA award for Best Picture, then that race will be considered pretty much over. And “Boyhood” the perceived front-runner will be the little-film-that-could and DID win the Oscar.

All these “precursor” awards are really only important (to us in the real world) because they tell us what is going to happen at the Oscars, the only awards race, we, the world, presumably care about. And why is the PGA award so particularly important? It has in the past few years, since “The King’s Speech” won, told us EXACTLY what film was going to win Best Picture. And it probably will again this year.

I don’t think the late-surging interest in “American Sniper” will impact the PGA award at all because the ballots had to be in before this past weekend’s box-office blow-out by “AS” (over $100 million and counting) happened.

So that means that whatever the film was that was ahead before “American Sniper”s late-blooming surprise is going to still be ahead for the PGA.

The SAG awards are a completely different kettle o’ fish. “Sniper” is nominated NO WHERE for them, and I’ll talk more about them later.

Eddie Redmayne Wins Best Actor Drama at Golden Globes! “Grand Budapest Hotel” wins Best Comedy/Musical!

Golden Eddie 1Golden Globe 2Budapest with TildaThe Golden Globes were really Golden tonight as they hit many high notes I predicted they would! Congratulations to Eddie Redmayne for winning the most competitive battle of the night. For Best Actor Drama. For his searing, unforgettable portrayal of the multiply disabled astrophysicist Stephen Hawking in the great “Theory of Everything” which also won best score tonight.

And to Wes Anderson, the red-headed, long-haired wizard for winning another hotly contested category Best Comedy/Musical and then gave a hilarious acceptance speech that matched the great humor in his movie. Anderson thanked many, many members of the Hollywood Foreign Press by FIRST NAMES! Hysterical! And almost unpronounceable.

And of course, as all and sundry predicted Julianne Moore, the classiest of classy dames won Best Actress Drama for her heart-breaking, excruciatingly detailed portrait of an early onset Alzheimer’s victim in “Still Alice.” She’ll go on to win the Oscar, too. As will J.K. Simmons and Patricia Arquette in “Boyhood.”

“Boyhood” also as expected won Best Picture and as I reported, earlier in the night, also won Best Director for Richard Linklater. Moore, Linklater, “Boyhood”, Arquette and Simmons will also now go on to win their Oscars.

The only race that is REALLY up in the air after tonight is Best Actor. It’s clearly between Eddie Redmayne and Michael Keaton, who also gave a helluva speech. He won for Best Actor Comedy/Musical for “Birdman.”

So the big win of the night was “Boyhood” with three wins. For Best Picture, Linklater and Arquette. Tied with two each are “Theory of Everything” Eddie Redmayne and Best Score. And “Birdman” also got two awards for Best Actor, Keaton, and Best Screenplay.

Now, come Eddie! Let’s go on to the Oscars and let’s win there, too!!

Joanna Froggatt “Downtown” Classiest Winner Golden Globes, J.K. Simmon & Patricia Arquette also triumph

Joanna Frogatt“Downtown Abbey”s very own Joanna Froggatt, who played the rape victim Anna won in her TV category( Supporting Actress TV/mini-series) and gave tonight’s classiest acceptance so far. Claiming that she hopes she was able to give a voice to similarly affected women everywhere. J. K. Simmons also won as expected for his sadistic/funny/frightening/enlightening music-teacher-from-hell in the great “Whiplash”. Huge, thunderous applause for him. And also for Patricia Arquette who also marched to her expected win for “Boyhood” as the Mom of Moms. Both gave perfectly poised speeches that will probably ensure that they will give MANY, MANY more & similar speeches on their way to their inevitable Oscar wins in a month and a half.

Out-of-the-blue winner so far(it’s still going on) was Amy Adams for “Big Eyes.” She also won last year at the Globes for “American Hustle” in the same category. Best Actress in a Comedy or Musical. She looked depressed and sad on the Red Carpet. No longer. She’s fine. But probably won’t get an Oscar nomination for “Big Eyes” which is perceived as a flop.

Chalk this one up to the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s wanting to give Harvey(Weinstein) SOMEthing. May means his other films won’t win tonight. That measn YOU “Imitation Game.”

Best Screenplay went, inexplicably, to “Birdman.”

Best Score went to “Theory of Everything.”

And Richard Linklater, whose a helluva nice guy, one of the nicest film directors I’ve ever interviewed, won, of course, for “Boyhood.”  Probably signaling “Boyhood” will win Best Picture.

They’ve saved the BIG awards, in film, for the last 45 minutes.

Oscar God Dave Karger on Red Carpet Predicts “Boyhood” and Julianne for Golden Globes Win

On this year’s red carpet Oscar God Dave Karger talking to E! News predicts “Boyhood” for Best Picture Drama and Julianne Moore for Best Actress Drama for “Still Alice.”

All the young actresses look more alike than ever.

Amy Adams in a blue-gray gown that makes her lookDave Karger 1 as though she already lost.Her hollow-eyed forlorn look ads to that impression.(For Best Actress Comedy/Musical for “Big Eyes.”)

Jessica Chastain, nominated for Best Supporting Actress for “Most Violent Year” looks stunning.

David Poland thinks its btwn. “Boyhood”, “Theory of Everything” and “Imitation Game”

Boyhood 2Theory2David Poland, the great Oscar prognosticator, of “Movie City News”, who was one of the ones who practically founded today’s Oscar race online, has just posted his “Settling” analysis of this year’s race. Something I always look forward to. Previously, he has called it “The Great Settling” and this year however he calls it “The Soft Settling.”

David, full disclosure, was once my boss. Yes, I was once a Guru o’ Gold, and then a Guru 2.0. Well, anyway, I digress…

David has his ear closer to the ground and hears more from more people who are actually Academy voters, and to sum up, he calls it “The Soft Settling”, because he thinks the race is still wide open. I wonder about that.

He interestingly has of course, this year’s de rigueur choice, “Boyhood” in #1, but thinks it’s between that film and the two “Brit pics” “Theory of Everything” And “The Imitation Game.” Which he feels are going to cancel each other out.

But he doesn’t think “Birdman” has an outside chance, though he thinks it will get nominated. He is hearing that the Academy types are resisting it as “too weird” and “too out there”. I think he’s right. But we soon shall see and tomorrow TA DA! The Producers Guild announce their top ten, or IOW their ten nominees which is really, really important. But he does think that the four movies I’ve mentioned above plus “Selma” will all be in. The other five are what’s up in the air still. Can’t wait til tomorrow when we find out!

Check out David’s great piece at the link below ~

http://moviecitynews.com/2015/01/20-weeks-to-oscar-the-soft-settling/

Nat’l Soc. of Film Critics Vote Marion Best Actress, Timothy Spall Best Actor

The Immigrant 1The very contrarian, very esoteric National Society of Film Critics, which is based in New York and always votes AFTER all the other critics’ groups have chimed in, went the astonishing way of naming Jean-Luc Godard’s 3-D, but art house flick “Good-bye to Language” as Best Picture. But then duplicated the New York Film Critics almost exactly by naming Marion Cotillard Best Actress for both of her acclaimed, but little-seen films, “The Immigrant” (pictured above^) and “Two Days, One Night” and Timothy Spall as the titular “Mr. Turner” as Best Actor.

Best Supporting Actor was J. K. Simmons, of course, who can stop him for “Whiplash”? And Best Supporting Actress was “Boyhood”s Patricia Arquette, both continuing their seemingly  unbreakable sprints to  Oscar gold in those categories.

It’s also interesting to note that “Farewell…” won by only one vote over “Boyhood.”

If you remember last year the National Society was the only group to award “Inside Llewyn Davis” anything! It gave it best picture and best actor for the stalwart Oscar Isaac.

A complete breakdown by the great Anne Thompson at Indiewire is here ~

http://blogs.indiewire.com/thompsononhollywood/the-national-society-of-film-critics-love-language-20150103?utm_source=tohDaily_newsletter&utm_medium=sailthru_

A.C.E. announce! The Importance of Editing to Oscar

Nightcrawler 2The A.C.E. or the Eddies, the Editing organization that the public may not know about, but the industry sure does, just announced their nominees and this year in their two film categories there were 11(!) nominations.  Six in Drama and Five in Musical/Comedy, like the Golden Globes. There was a tie in the Drama category, but they’re not saying who or which film. Including “Nightcrawler”, they were “Gone Girl,” “Boyhood”, “Imitation Game” and “Whiplash.” And the also surprising last minute, late comer to the race,  Clint Eastwood’s “American Sniper.”

The importance of editing as the central or key aspect in film-making today and in the awards season race, can not be underestimated. And also, no Best Picture has won without at least an Eddie nomination, Which is bad news for “Selma”.

If I had it to do over again, I’d study film-editing myself. Sometimes you feel like you’ve missed your calling and I think about trying to start to learn how to edit everyday. But I digress…

The guilds are the first REAL sample of how the industry is feeling this year about the Oscars. All the other awards so far are mainly voted on by CRITICS! And there are NO critics or press in the Academy.

There ARE press agents, but they only are allowed to nominate five pictures for Best Film, as one small for instance. When the nominations are announced they THEN get to vote in all the categories, but this is Phase I, the nomination phase. In fact, Academy members are nominating right now as we speak.

And next to the VAST Actor’s Branch, the second branch that really has a say, I think, is the Editor’s Branch. Not all the members of A.C.E. are IN the editors branch, by the way, but it’s a pretty good indicator.

And what’s surprising about today’s announcements, is what was left in that wasn’t expected, like for instance “Nightcrawler” (on my year’s 10 Best List for sure) and also the late opening Clint Eastwood “American Sniper” starring Bradley Cooper.

Nobody expected either of them to make it and that means they may make it into the Best Picture race at the Oscars. Left out was “Selma”. Which is kind of shocking, with all the supposed momentum that is building for it. But maybe it’s not. Also left out, I’m sorry to say was my fave “The Theory of Everything.” Watch for the Oscar nominations to correct that in two weeks.

But Jake Gyllenhaal has started really picking up nomination speed with nods from the Golden Globes, SAG, and the Broadcast Film Critics. And now this.”Nightcrawler” has LEGS! As many legs as a centipede, it seems.

http://www.hitfix.com has the rest with spirited analysis by their great Kris Tapley and Gregory Ellwood. The complete list is there.

And on Monday, the Producer’s Guild is set to announced its’ list of ten nominees for Best Picture. The PGA as it’s called was the first group to vote for “The King’s Speech,” when they voted for their winner that year when everyone else up to that point was going “The Social Network,” a film that I STILL intensely dislike. I still think of it as “The Joy of Typing.”

The PGA even more than the A.C.E. Eddies are ALLLL mostly Academy Members. They have ten slots and use a preferential ballot, like the Oscars do.

So films that are on the edge of the Oscar bubble, like for instance “Gone Girl,” “Nightcrawler”, “American Sniper,” “Unbroken,” “Into the Woods”, “A Most Violent Year” or “Whiplash” will find their hopes either raised or dashed on Monday.

I think frontrunners like “Boyhood”, “Birdman”, “Imitation Game” and “The Theory of Everything” will all be on the Producer’s List. And “Selma”, too, even though it was left off the A.C.E. Eddie’s today.

Never underestimate the importance of film editors. They silently run the show, and year after year do great unsung work that is respected and admired by the industry. These are the first voters we’ve heard from who REALLY count.

So who do these Eddie Nods help? For sure, Jake Gyllenhaal’s bid to get in to the extremely tight Best Actor Oscar race. It could help give “Nightcrawler” Best Picture cred, too. And don’t forget the wonderful 60-year-old-but-still-glamourous Rene Russo, who could get swept into the Supporting Actress race. Why not? She certainly deserves it.

And what of Bradley Cooper and “American Sniper”? Well, we shall see what we shall see.

 

 

 

Tag Cloud

%d bloggers like this: