a.k.a. "The Oscar Messenger"

Posts tagged ‘Blue Valentine’

OSCAR NOMINATIONS OUT! “King’s Speech” rules with 12!

So I feel pretty generally pleased this morning with the announcement of this year’s Oscar Nominations which gave 12(!!!!!) nominations, the most of any film this year, to “The King’s Speech”! Bravo!

This massive nomination haul + the PGA win this weekend puts “King” right where it’s meant to be! To rule! And to win! Bravo!

But not only was it nominated in ALLLL the major categories where it was eligible…Best Picture, Best Director (YAY for Tom Hooper! I told you so! You didn’t believe me, but…you did say I was your Oscar Messenger, and the name has stuck!), Best Actor, of course, the King of Kings, Colin Firth, who has won everything else this year, Best Supporting Actor, Geoffrey Rush, (Geoffrey I told you so, too, at Toronto) Best Supporting Actress (Helena Bonham-Carter), Best Original Screenplay(David Seidler) and on and on all the way down through every single branch of the Academy including SOUND MIXING!!!!!!! YIKES! That’s what they call across-the-board, or more accurately, across the guilds, support. It bodes, very, very, very well for a Best Picture win. People are already calling it an “upset” to me it was the Academy’s favorite right out of the box at Toronto! Bravo TIFF! It really was the the Oscar race not only launched, but also more or less landed in the sense that “The King’s Speech” ALSO won the Audience favorite this year. Bravo! What’s the plural of Bravo? Bravos!

And Michelle Williams got nominated for Best Actress for “Blue Valentine”! YAY! Michelle! Again I TOLD YOU SO! Like I told you you were going to be nominated five years ago for “Brokeback Mountain” and you didn’t believe me, but I WAS RIGHT! Brava! Diva!

I feel awful for Ryan Gosling however. DUDE! You totally deserved this!

You should have replaced that horrible non-actor Jesse Irritatingberg for “The Joy of Typing” who STILL gives me a headache everytime I hear his grating, staccato voice.

Also was UNhappy to see “Winter’s Bore” get FOUR nominations(and perhaps more, I haven’t finished counting) and I won’t bore you any further with that.

NO LESLIE MANVILLE ANYWHERE! I HOPED that wouldn’t happen! But it did. Category confusion and a too-late release date(Dec.31) for this little film that at least scored a screenplay nod for Mike Leigh, but nothing else.

This was SUCH a beautiful movie, and NOT a bore like “Winter’s B.”….

I guess the snubs have upset me more than anything else. And no Noomi Rapace or “The Girl Who Kicked the Hornet’s Nest” anywhere. Guess that is the American Producer(Sony?) blockading against its’ Oscar chances so that the dreaded American Remake with David Fincher and Rooney Marra that is slated for next Decemeber can rule Oscar then And it probably will….grrrr…If by some strange fluke of fate and David Fincher does NOT win the Best Director Oscar for “The Joy of Typing”, he undoubtedly will for “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” next year. The late author Steig Larsson must be turning over in his grave.

Well, Noomi could still triumph at the BAFTAS, where she is nominated for Best Actress and the film for Best Foreign Language Film.

Not surprised(although I predicted him) that Christopher Nolan was left out of the Best Director Five although he received a DGA nomination. There almost always is a four v. five situation there with the directors. And the Coens got in. AND I must mention that “True Grit” followed “The King’s Speech” with 10 nominations. Including that brat Haillee Steinfeld(who I predicted would end up in Supporting, and she did although she really belongs back in middle school in 1000 Oaks, or doing “Blingatude” commercials. She was totally believable as a Valley Girl brat…but that’s the extant of her believable range.) And Jackie Weaver got in for the unwatchable “Animal World”! Which is a shocker! And neither Barbara Hersey OR Mila Kunis! So while “Black Swan” was shaking a bit, Natalie Portman DID get in for Best Actress and Aronofsky for Best Director. Good.

Check out www.awardsdaily.com of course, for alllll the nominations. And David Karger, my hero, who stuck out with me on the limb of “The King’s Speech” ALLLLL season and now you see, along with Anne Thompson of “Indiewire” ‘and our Fearless Leader David Poland of “Movie City News” that we were right all along. They are at www.ew.com

www.indiewire.com

www.moviecitynews.com

And if there is toooo much traffic at Awardsdaily, which is one of the MOST popular Oscar sites in the world, and you can’t access it, as I couldn’t earlier this morning. There’s those three Pro-“King’s Speech” addresses and also Steve Pond’s excellent “The Wrap” at www.thewrap.com

DAVID!!! PUT ME BACK AS A GURU O’ GOLD!!! PLEASE!!!

Oscar Nomination Predictions ~ Best Actor and Actress

Well, this year I feel the BAFTA nominations have had a huge impact – on me personally. I find myself THINKING about them more than I have ever had in my Oscar life before. Now the BAFTAs can’t influence the Oscar nominations which will be announced bright and early Tuesday morning. The only day of the year I actually look forward to getting up that early.

They CAN’T influence the actual Oscar nominations, as I’ve said , but they can TELL US something that perhaps we’ve not seen coming. And REVEAL what a large group of voters, supposedly the numbers are one in six Academy members, are thinking.

And first of all I’d say they REVEAL that Julianne Moore is much more IN the Best Actress race than just about everybody under the sun in the U.S. has given her credit for for “The Kids Are All Right.”

And their leaving out of BOTH Nicole Kidman and Jennifer Lawrence for “Rabbit Hole” and “Winter’s Bore” completely, shows us that these presumed locked ladies are not so locked at all.

We all can agree on Annette Bening for TKAAR and Natalie Portman for “Black Swan.”

And they have my favorite performance, who I also think is going to WIN, the BAFTA, Noomi Rapace, down for “The Girl Who Kicked the Hornet’s”. Of course, she’s really being honored here for ALL THREE Steig Larsson films.  I think her Lisbeth Salander trumps Natalie Portman’s schizy ballerina. In British eyes.

But–

So my Best Actress nominees are –

ANNETTE BENING – The Kids Are All Right”

JULIANNE MOORE- ‘The Kids Are All Right”

NATALIE PORTMAN- “Black Swan”

NOOMI RAPACE-“The Girl Who Kicked the Hornet’s Nest”

MICHELLE WILLIAMS- “Blue Valentine”

Putting Rapace in there is really going out on a limb…but…I do think the BAFTAS have pointed the way for this category this year. And I’m replacing their Haillee Steinfeld for “True Grit” with Michelle Williams. And I’m betting the Academy which seems hell-bent on honoring Steinfeld will put her in Supporting as I said yesterday. Which I think is where she belongs.

Best Actor, this is easier

JEFF BRIGES – “True Grit”

COLIN FIRTH “The King’s Speech”

JAMES FRANCO- “127 Hours”

JESSIE IRRITATINGBERG – “The Movie About Typing”

RYAN GOSLING- “Blue Valentine”

I think Robert DuVal is not going to make it in for that sub-par performance in “Get Low” or “How Low Can You Get?” or “How to Throw Your Own Funeral” which actually sounds like a fun movie with that title. But trust me, it isn’t.

Looking eastward again to the BAFTA nominees, I’ve got four of their five for Best Actress AND Best Actor! Now that’s an impact! Their fifth Best Actor Nominee is Javier Bardem for “Biutiful”…and he could sneak into that fifth slot, but I don’t think people have been watching the movie. Whereas they WILL have watched “Blue Valentine.”

Most BAFTA nominations 14! for “The King’s Speech”!!!And 3 for Noooooomi!!

WELLLLLLL, THIS is good news! After the wretch-fest that was this year’s best-quickly forgotten Golden Globs, the British Academy Awards equivalent, the BAFTAs corrected all the wrongs and nominated “The King’s Speech” for 16 Awards! YAY!

I’m sooooo relieved!

I tell you, I keep hearing from Academy Voting Members that they LOVE, LOVE, LOVE “The King’s Speech” and I knew of course, the British would go for it en masse, and they did. The Oscar nominations are all in, and being tabulated as we speak by their accountants, counting all the nomination ballots by hand. Yes, that’s the way they do it. Still. But it guarantees secrecy. Were these to be sent in online, they could be hacked into, so THAT’S where the Academy stands on the Internet. And the Film I Will Not Name got a paltry six, an embarassingly small number, after trouncing “The King’s Speech” at the Awardsfest this weekend. All is suddenly right with the world. Of course, Colin Firth won all contests.

Best Picture, Actor(Colin Firth), Best Supporting Actor(Geoffrey Rush) and Best Supporting Actress(Helena Bonham-Carter), Best Original Screenplay(David Seidler) and every thing else under the British sun, including Best Make-Up!

The Best Actress category was the biggest surprise with BOTH Annette Bening and Julianne Moore from “The Kids Are All Right”, which I think the Oscars are going to do. Natalie Portman, natch, and NOOOOOOOMI Rapace for “The Girl Who Kicked The Hornet’s Nest”!?! Soooo thrilled for NOOOOOOOOOOOOOMI! And Hailee Steinfeld!?!?

This leaves out Nicole Kidman, Jennifer Lawrence(for “Winter’s Bore”thank goodness!! ) and also sadly Michelle Williams.

“The Girl Who Kicked…” also turned up with two other nominations for Best Screenplay, and also best foreign film!!!

I think FINALLY “The King’s Speech” is going to sweep here and this may influence the Oscar’s end result. One can only hope.

Other significant left-outs – Melissa Leo in Best Supporting Actor for “The Fighter”!! Amy Adams made it in here. And so, I’m happy to point out did Miranda Richardson. And of course, left IN is Helena Bonham-Carter who I mentioned earlier ^ and she will probably triumph here. Also, happily the great Barbara Hersey made it into this category instead of the massively mediocre Mila Kunis for “Black Swan.” 

Congratulations to Colin, Geoffrey, Helena, Miranda, Barbara, director Tom Hooper and NOOOOOMI! WOWOWOW!

So now if you’re counting such things, and we KNOW you are, that’s “The King’s Speech” getting more than TWICE the amount of that OTHER film. The one about typing.

For a complete list see www.goldderby.com and also of course, www.awardsdaily.com

Gold Derby also points out how influential the BAFTAS are on the Oscars these past few years since it switched it’s ceremony time to come down RIGHT DURING the actual Oscar voting. I still think her win at BAFTA and Daniel Day Lewis’ wonderful words about her perfomance as Edith Piaf, helped win the virtually unknown Marion Cotillard her unexpected(but not by me) Oscar for Best Actress!

Guy Lodge, a Brit himself, has plenty o’ insight into this Brit fest at Chris Tapley’s great oscar site www.incontention.com

Oh, and congratulations and thank you, too, to Rising Stars nominees Gemma Arterton”Tamara Drewe” and Aaron Johnson “Nowhere Boy”!

Summarizing the BAFTA asterisks! Surprises galore! Oscar surprises in store?

First let me say, thank you to www.awardsdaily.com for making all us Oscarwatchers AWARE of what the hell the BAFTA long list is.

Never heard of it? Well, for some eccentric British reason, the BAFTA awards, which are the British equivalent of the Oscars, posts a LONG list of their contenders ~ now with asterisks, no less. The Asterisks tell us who has gotten the most votes in each category, though they don’t do this for Best Picture. The lists themselves are VERY long and include the less-than-heavyweight choices like Gemma Arterton in “Tamara Drewe” as Best Actress!?!

Of course, they are very Brit-Centric OF COURSE, but coming as they do, their timing is TIME-LY and  is more influential on the Oscars each year. AMPAS bows to the Brits. Almost always. When in doubt, vote with the British. They did in Marion Cotillard’s case, didn’t they? For “La Vie En Rose.” STILL cant stop talking about THAT unexpected win. Which yours truly predicted, mais oui.

So here with surprises galore are the five actors & actresses in each category that got an asterisk, which means they PROBABLY will also get all the way through to an actual BAFTA nod.

Best Actor

Colin Firth “The King’s Speech” (of course)

James Franco “127 Hours”(natch)

Javier Bardem “Biutiful” ( a foreign surprise)

Jeff Bridges”True Grit” (of course)

Jesse Eisenberg(The Film-That-I-Will-Not-Name)

Except for Bardem, the other four will most likely also be Oscar nomed.

Best Actress

Annette Bening(TKAAR “The Kids Are All Right”)

Carey Mulligan”Never Let Me Go”( superb performance, but not gonna happen stateside. The movie bombed.)

Julianne Moore (TKAAR. Would be a surprise at the Oscar Nom morning, if this happened.)

Michelle Williams “Blue Valentine” ( I sure hope so. This HELPS her.)

Natalie Portman “Black Swan” (of course)

This is a three out of five situation, with Michelle being one of those three + Annette & Natalie. But wait! NO NICOLE KIDMAN! Though she is on the long list, she’s not gotten an asterisk! Uh-oh! And double WTF is Haillee Steinfeld being nominated, on the long list,no asterisk for “True Grit”!?!

This lists perhaps signals that Nicole may not make it into the Oscar Derby. “Rabbit Hole” is dying at the Box-Office, while “True Grit” continues to ride high.

More movement in this category than many have thought, I think. And Jennifer Lawrence is on the Long List here, too. But with no asterisk. Uh-oh.

This piece is getting too long. Will deal with the Supporting categories later! And it’s SNOWING again in New York! Uh-oh!

8. Year’s Ten Best- “Blue Valentine”

With my wonderful brand new interviews with Michelle Williams and Ryan Gosling for “Blue Valentine” now up on You Tube at ~

www.youtube.com/StephenHoltShow

these marvelously talented performers, both nominated for Golden Globe Awards for Best Actor and Best Actress, I was inspired to try to find the wonderful phone chat Michelle and I had back Jan. 2006 AFTER she had been nominated for Best Supporting Actress for “Brokeback Mountain.” I’ve found it and I’m now trying to post it here.

I wrote it for Oscarwatch.com which is now Awardsdaily.com and it really does lay my and Michelle’s brief history out quite completely.

“Brokeback” of course, changed my life. Needless to say. And the lives of many, many others. And in the interview I was SOOOO convinced(as was Sasha, then and now the webmistress of Oscarwatch/Awardsdaily. Sasha, as in Sasha Stone, of course.) that “Brokeback” would win the Oscar. And of course, it didn’t. It famously, scandalously lost to “Crash” Gay people, all over the world, myself included, have never gotten over that traumatic night, when the homophobia of Hollywood was irrevocably displayed for all the world to see.

“Brokeback” did win Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Score…But no, Michelle didn’t win and Heath didn’t win.

I called my piece “I’ve never been happier!” quoting Michelle on how she felt at this wonderfully hopeful moment in her life, and Sasha came up with the much-better title of the piece “SHE’S Never Been Happier.”

It disappeared along with all the other Oscarwatch.com archives in an upgrade a number of years back. And people have always been asking me about it. And now that Michelle has come back into my life with “Blue Valentine,” I thought I’d go search for it ~ and I found it!

Right now my computer is NOT ,letting me cut and paste it on to WordPress, here. On this blog.

 But check back soon! Because I’ll keep trying!

I certainly hope Michelle gets nominated for Best Actress for the Oscar as I told her she would. And last time I told her, I was right!

And she remembered!

“She’s Never Been Happier!” Stayed tuned!

Indie Spirit Noms Out. Who’s Up? Who’s Down? Does Oscar CARE?

And the nominations keep coming! Now the Indie Spirit Award nominations are out and the question I always pose. AND KNOW THE ANSWER TO. Is do Indie Spirit Nominations influence the Academy? Or anyone? And the answer is NO. AMPAS members are notoriously insular, if not downright snobby. And don’t even DEIGN to follow these upstart Indie Awards(and that goes double for the Gothams, wha? who?) for films they probably have never heard of, mostly….and yet…

Well, I’ll tell you who these Nominations today influence. It’s the films’ press agents. That’s who.

The exclusion of Ryan Gosling for “Blue Valentine” and Julianne Moore for “The Kids Are All Right” is downright shocking. SHOCKING! And it’s a wake up call to their press agents and their film companies to get on the ball and correct this. If they can. Before it’s too late.

The Best Actress nominees are the only group that will remotely resemble the five Best Actress nods that the Academy will dole out. Parsimoniously, these year it seems with soooo many great performance to chose from in this category. But the final 5 may have been nailed, by of all people, the Indie Spirits. Why? Because leading actresses and the films that revolve around them are all low budget, indie films.

Which is what these Nominations are meant to celebrate, which is all noble, fine and good. Just don’t take them as any indications at the Academy is going to follow suit, except in the Best Actress category strangely, which may prophetically show us THE FIVE(minus Greta Gerwig, ugh! For “Greenberg” double ugh!) And those ladies are Annette Bening, Natalie Portman, Michelle Williams(Yay!), Nicole Kidman for “Rabbit Hole” and that wretched Jennifer Lawrence. Yes, HER. AGAIN. Turning up like roadkill on a Western highway. Triple ugh!

There may be no stopping those five, whether I like them or not. But who this may help is, of all people, the lovely Naomi Watts, who certainly deserves her nomination for Best Supporting Actress for “Mother and Child.” That may repeat at the Oscars, if the Golden Globes(and everybody else) picks up on her beautiful, memorable performance.

That’s Sony Pictures Classics. And they may see now the non-wisdom of they’re not putting Leslie Manville in Supporting. Nobody from “Another Year” got ANYthing in the acting categories.

You also have to remember, though unless you live in L.A. you might not even notice, that these awards are given out the DAY BEFORE the Oscars, so they have absolutely NO influence. It’s too late. Everybody has voted.

www.awardsdaily.com has the complete list. But get ready this is just the start! The Golden Satellites(what?) announce within 24 hours.

Michelle Williams & Ryan Gosling break your heart in “Blue Valentine”

Just got back from a press screening of the much-buzzed about “Blue Valentine.” I don’t want to write a complete review here. It doesn’t open til Christmas, but I will say that both Ryan Gosling and ESPECIALLY my darling Michelle Williams, really do live up their Oscar hype and both SHOULD be nominated!

There’s virtually no other characters in the film except them, and it creeps up on you slowly and them WHAM! It lets you have it with two barrels of blazing star-power.

Michelle is, from an Oscar standpoint, the more predictable nomination, since she’s the sympathetic one in this film. It’s all told from her point of view. And Ryan’s the heavy. But goddamn! La Belle Michelle is wonderful here. The irony is the best actress category is SOOO crowded, but a serious, tragic heart-breaking performance that seems ALL TOO REAL could easy knock out one of the actresses in the lighter, comedic contenders. I’m talking to you Julianne Moore.

Ryan Gosling, OTOH, is a probable lock because except for Colin  Firth and James Franco, the category is MUCH more open. Best Actor, that is.

And with the never-to-be-underestimated Harvey Weinstein, this should be a double slam-dunk for nominations.

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