a.k.a. "The Oscar Messenger"

Posts tagged ‘Barbara Hersey’

Oscar Nomination Predictions- Best Supp.Actor & Actress

Here at last is what I think is going to go down on Tuesday morn at 8am EST when the Oscar Nominations are announced and the whole game changes…or does it? Or is it going to be what everybody has been been saying all season long? Ho-hum.

I used to do this on my TV show, but this year now that I have this wonderful blog, IT’S HERE!

Best Supporting Actor ~

Christian Bale – “The Fighter”

Michael Douglas- “Wall St. 2 Money Never Sleeps”

Jeremy Renner-“The Town”

Mark Ruffalo- “The Kid’s Are All Right”

Geoffrey Rush-“The King’s Speech”

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams -“The Fighter”

Helen Bonham-Carter -“The King’s Speech”

Melissa Leo-“The Fighter”

Barbara Hersey-“Black Swan”

Haillee Steinfeld – ‘True Grit”

My reasonings are thus. The Academy whose estimated age is unimaginable, tends to honor veteran performers in the Supporting Categories, when it can. Thus I see Barbara Hersey, who has been nominated only once before in her long carrer, also in Supporting. Hersey gives the most complex, layered, multi-faceted performance as Natalie Portman’s scary/caring/over-powering/over-protective mother. Try to image “Black Swan” without her. You can’t.

Mila Kunis from that film is just young and hot and she plays a lesbian. That seems to have turned many on the precursor awards circuit on, but not me, and not the Academy.

“Another Year”s magnificent Leslie Manville is going to fall victim to category confusion, I’m afraid which leads to vote-splitting, which leads to NOTHING. And she unknown here.

And the late releasing film hasn’t really caught on. Whereas the other possible vote-splitter, Haillee Steinfeld, is in another late released film, “True Grit” that HAS caught on, BIG TIME. And the interest in her(why?????) is so great, that there’s so many that seem to want her IN, that she could turn up in the category she SHOULD be in and was campaigned for in Best Supporting Actress.

Whereas Leslie Manville was campaigned in LEAD, in a tough, competitive year, too, when many thought she should’ve been campaigned in Supporting, she’s just not going to turn up ANYwhere.

And the Brit vote will go to Helena Bonham-Carter in “The King’s Speech.”

Michael Douglas also knocks out another Brit  Andrew Garfield, from that Film About Typing….Garfield is soooo young, and the Academy is soooo old and Michael Douglas is a Hollywood legend and he was very, very good in “WS2”. And most importantly, he nearly died this year, from throat cancer. He’s beat it, he says. But who knows? It’s a disease that could be in remission right now and may come back more strongly at any moment.Like during the voting period. And the Academy doesn’t want to risk him dying on them, without even a nomination for very fine work.

The Academy is a bunch of old softies and the LOVE the veteran guys, and regularly reward them over youth, especially in this category.

Also in Douglas’ and Jeremy Renner’s as well as the three from “The Fighter”, and Steinfeld from “True Grit”‘s favor is that they are backed by major studios. Warner Brothers and Paramount.

Then there’s the Harvey Factor. NOBODY runs an Oscar campaign like H. Weinstein and he’s got Geoffrey Rush and Helena Bonham-Carter, both superb in the superb “The King’s Speech.” They might as well nominate Harvey himself.  He’s a stealth factor behind alllll the Weinstein Company’s nominees. Though HW is hardly the definition of stealth.

AND LOOK out! IF on Tuesday morning GUY PEARCE ALSO turns up in Supporting for his vile abdicating King Edward VIII in “The King’s Speech” that’s going to show that “The King’s Speech” has much more support from within the Academy than many have thought.

He would, I’m guessing, replace Renner. And this would be, I think, Pearce’s first Oscar nomination. Whoa!

Golden Globe Nominations! King’s Speech leads with 7!!!

Very gratified to report that the wonderful “King’s Speech” which I have been championing ever since I saw it at its’ first press screening at Toronto received seven Golden Globe nominations this morning. More than any other film, and that usually means it’s going to win!

It was nominated for Best Film -Drama, Best Actor, the wonderful Colin Firth, Best Supporting Actor, Geoffrey Rush, Best Supporting Actress, Helena Bonham-Carter, Best Director, Tom Hooper(who named me “The Oscar Messenger” after all, LOVE him!), Best Screenplay and Best Score.

Congratulations to Colin, Geoffrey, Helena, Tom and to Harvey Weinstein who produced all this magnificence.

Yesterday that OTHER FILM, whom I will not mention by name any more, won all the critics’ awards across the country, and today, “The King’s Speech” is on top!

Also nominated for Best Actor -Drama was Ryan Gosling, whom I just interviewed for “Blue Valentine.” That is going to be up on YouTube shortly and Best Actress-Drama- Michelle Williams for the same moving film, whom I also interviewed. And she’ll be coming soon, too. www.youtube.com/StephenHoltShow

Omissions~ They left  out a LOT of possible contenders like Jeff Bridges, and Hailee Stanfield from “True Grit”. In fact, “True Grit” (which I STILL haven’t seen) was shut out completely. And Danny Boyle for Director and “127 Hours” were not nominated, though its’ star James Franco was. Franco was expected. The shut out of “127 Hours” and Boyle were not. Nothing for Robert Duvall in “Get Low.” Nothing for “True Grit” other than the despised Jennifer Lawrence’s expected but undeserved nomination. Will somebody please put a stop to that woman! Her adulation in that faux-Ozarkian indie is incomprehensible to me.

And Leonardo Di Caprio was left out ~ TWICE! For “Shutter Island” AND for “Inception” Yikes! Methinks this was not category confusion but actual, for real, MOVIE confusion. There were astounding similarities in the plots of both movies. And certainly Leo’s characters.  So Leo got left out twice, but Johnny Depp was nominated TWICE for Best Actor in a Comedy or Musical. For “Alice in Wonderland” and “The Tourist.” BOTH Annette Bening and Julianne Moore were nominated for “The Kids Are All Right” in the Musical/Comedy Best Actress category.

And sadly “Another Year” was nowhere to be seen. No Mike Leigh. No Leslie Manville. And also no Noomi Rapace for “The Girl Who Kicked the Hornet’s Nest.” Sadly.

IN were Jackie Weaver for “Animal Kingdom.”!!! And Mila Kunis, and NOT Barbara Hersey for “The Black Swan.”  I think the Academy will correct that. And switch the two. This is for Best Supporting Actress, and as I predicted BOTH Melissa Leo and Amy Adams got in for “The Fighter” and they will cancel each other out, leaving the way for her Royal Highness Helena Bonham-Carter to win here. And at the Oscars, too, I’m betting.

And Michael Douglas DOES go supporting as Peggy Siegel told me he would, also back in Toronto. For “Wall Street 2” which I enjoyed immensely. And NO Mark Ruffalo for “The Kids Are All Right” though it scored big everywhere else and won him a Best Supporting Actor nod from the New York Film Critics. So Douglas is IN. Ruffalo is now OUT?

After “The King’s Speech”, came “The Fighter” with six nominations, as I predicted. And THAT OThER MOVIE also got six. Best Foreign Film nominations included Tilda Swinton’s “I Am Love.”

These nominations HELP all those nominated, but hurt the ones unexpectedly left out, like “True Grit” and “Another Year.”

For the complete list, see www.awardsdaily.com

Barbara Hersey’s Scarey Mom – Oscar-nomination-worthy in “Black Swan”

How many crazy moms-from-hell can we have in one Oscar race for Best Supporting Actress? Well, at the moment there’s THREE. In addition to long shot Jackie Weaver for “Animal Kingdom” and SURE shot Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” out Friday. But wait! There’s ONE MORE! Who’s even more frightening because she’s also sympathetic and complex. A combo that the Academy usually CAN’T resist.

We can’t be blinded by the evil of these two aforementioned diva-moms when the largest, scariest performance of all of them is  Barbara Hersey’s pyscho-stage mom who puts the BLACK in “Black Swan.”

I really do think that out of the trio of Supporting ladies in box-office and critical hit “Black Swan” Hollywood vet Hersey has the best chance. She’s got the biggest part. You love her and you HATE her sometimes in the same scene! WHAT A PART! You watch her try to help and nurture her already slightly schizoid ballerina-wannabee daughter Natalie Portman at the same time she’s trying to KILL HER!Or IS she?

OSCAR LOVES THIS!?!

Since she first came to prominence as “Last Summer”s teenage seductress in 1969’s classic indie, Hersey has been working steadily in every aspect of acting that Hollywood has to offer. Films, TV, Series, Mini-Series she’s worked with EVERYBODY and she’s beloved. She even got her first Oscar nomination for “The Portrait of a Lady” in 1996.

Sorry Winona Ryder and Mila Kunis. I think Barbara Hersey’s got the other acting nomination in this film, besides the brilliant-beyond-words prima screamer ballerina Natalie Portman, who is pirouetting her way over all this season’s STIFF competition for Best Actress. But that’s another category!

Back to Barbara!

I met her IN PERSONI at the Fox Searchlight Christmas Party one cold night earlier this week. Was it JUST Monday? It seems like ages ago so much Oscar/Awards stuff has been happening I can barely write it down!

But Barbara Hersey was the loveliest of lovely ladies, wearing black, of course. It’s the “Black Swan” and I was only toooo happy to tell her that I was her “Oscar Messenger.” She really liked that. You’d think with the lesbian-themed Kunis and other previous nominee Winona, that she might be over-looked. But neither of them were there working the room of Oscarologists, but Barbara was!

And as I told her how much of a good mother I thought she character was, with the craziest of daughters, Hersey disagreed with me. “No! She’s crazy, too! She’s driven her daughter crazy.”

“But” I insisted, ” I liked her. I understood where she was coming from. She was trying to be a good mother.”

And again Barbara disagreed with me. “No, but she’s ALSO crazy, too.”

But that, of course, is what makes Hersey’s performance so compelling – and frightening. You can see the Black and the White, the Black Swan and the White Swan, within HER, too, as well as Portman.

Hersey’s Swan Mom has been driven to her own point of madness by her frustrations of being a failed ballerina herself, so she’s PUSHING her talented, beautiful daughter, Natalie Portman to do what she wasn’t able to do in her lifetime, which is to succeed at ballet. Tom O’Neill or Tom-Ohhh agrees with me and has Hersey on his Best Supporting Actress list at www.goldderby.com  Tom has his finger on the pulse and looks at the Gold Derby as he’s so aptly named it from all angles.

I LOVED “Black Swan”! I saw it at that memorable screening at the Bell Lightbox at TIFF’10 this year. In fact, it was the first film I ever saw there. And I was sitting with the Pitch-This! winners Anthony Del Col and Conor McCreery. More on them later this week! www.killshakespeare.com

And what a frightening/nauseating portrait of the dance world, director Darren Aronofsky has painted in the “Black Swan.” They’re all anorexic, back-stabbing, little horrors, those corps(e) de ballet girls. And the film didn’t seem like a horror film to me. It just seemed terrifyingly ACCURATE.

And lest we forget super-oily Vincent Cassell’s evil, sleazoid ballet master. He’s being campaigned for Best Supporting Actor by Searchlight, too. And watch he scores with the Golden Globes, too.

One of France’s leading film actors who wowed audiences this year with his hard-hitting Public Enemy #1 in “Mesrine”, which is in two parts, Pt.1 & Pt.2, which is essentially two movies, Cassell is also floating on a tide of good will as America just begins to discover him. And nominations for a Golden Globe by the Hollywood FORIEGN Press are just around the corner next week! Phew! I can barely keep up! And the L.A. Film Critics announce Sunday and the NYFilm Critics on Monday. Then the Golden Globe nominations come out practically right on top of them.

But back to Barbara Hersey. I was soooo thrilled to talk to her in this lovely, swanky, holiday setting. And she was so eager and happy to talk about her Oscar possiblities. I assured her that she had them. Which made her VERY happy. So happy, she introduced me to Darren Aronosfky!

He was surrounded by well-wishers or Oscarologists DISguised as well wishers and when I told him I was HIS Oscar Messenger, too.

He said, in a whisper, or certainly a hoarse voice, “I don’t know. I hope so.”

“Black Swan” is one of the best films of the year and is DEFINITELY going to be on my Ten Best List that is coming soon to this blog. VERY, very soon. As Sasha Stone has said at www.awardsdaily.com “Black Swan” is Aronofsky’s masterpiece.

If Natalie Portman reigns at the two big film critics this coming week, then it’s a done deal. I THINK however since they are going to think that Oscar is going to reward her, that they may bestow their cherished Best Actress accolades on Underdog Leslie Manville of Mike Leigh’s “Another Year.”

The race is definitely ON!

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