a.k.a. "The Oscar Messenger"

The incredibly telegenic and incredibly smart Peter Knegt, the go-to Oscar guy at Indiewire.com calls the Oscar shots at TIFF’13. And he’s always right!

Has much changed since TIFF? It’s like my life gets frozen in these two big Canadian film festivals for MONTHS as they play and re-play on my You Tube Channel http://www.youtube.com/StephenHoltShow and also my TV show in NYC!

This segment with Peter aired tonight and I have to say even though I’m plunged into the best-in-years NEW YORK Film Festival, I don’t think much really has changed. Even though I missed both “Captain Phillips” Tom Hanks’ shot at the Oscar and also the Coen Brothers’ “Inside Llewyn Davis”, the buzz on them, in a very crowded field for Best Actor, is not the greatest. Both played to capacity crowds. “Inside” turned away 20 or 30 people. And with “Captain Phillips” it was hundreds(seemingly).

Both films could get into the ten slots of the Best Picture race, possibly. The Coens have very loyal support within the Academy. Even their unlikely “A Serious Man” got nominated for Best Picture. It didn’t win, but it got nominated.

And box-office will play a big role in whether “Captain Phillip” makes it. But the Best Actor race for their leads, the unknown Oscar Issac and the very well-known Tom Hanks, is no sure thing. Only five slots. Even Hanks could get left out. Which I’m hearing which is shocking. That’s how crowded the Best Actor race is this year.

Meanwhile on the distaff side, Sandra Bullock is now firmly entrenched as a VERY strong competitor to the front-runner Cate Blanchett of “Blue Jasmine”. “Gravity” which I hadn’t seen at the time of this taping above * at TIFF, is now breaking box-office records and as it ascends to the top of the charts Sandra Bullock is, too. She’s PHENOMENAL in “Gravity!” Color me shocked. But congratulations to Sandy, as they call her, for confounding expectations! Including mine!

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