First let me say, thank you to www.awardsdaily.com for making all us Oscarwatchers AWARE of what the hell the BAFTA long list is.
Never heard of it? Well, for some eccentric British reason, the BAFTA awards, which are the British equivalent of the Oscars, posts a LONG list of their contenders ~ now with asterisks, no less. The Asterisks tell us who has gotten the most votes in each category, though they don’t do this for Best Picture. The lists themselves are VERY long and include the less-than-heavyweight choices like Gemma Arterton in “Tamara Drewe” as Best Actress!?!
Of course, they are very Brit-Centric OF COURSE, but coming as they do, their timing is TIME-LY and is more influential on the Oscars each year. AMPAS bows to the Brits. Almost always. When in doubt, vote with the British. They did in Marion Cotillard’s case, didn’t they? For “La Vie En Rose.” STILL cant stop talking about THAT unexpected win. Which yours truly predicted, mais oui.
So here with surprises galore are the five actors & actresses in each category that got an asterisk, which means they PROBABLY will also get all the way through to an actual BAFTA nod.
Colin Firth “The King’s Speech” (of course)
James Franco “127 Hours”(natch)
Javier Bardem “Biutiful” ( a foreign surprise)
Jeff Bridges”True Grit” (of course)
Jesse Eisenberg(The Film-That-I-Will-Not-Name)
Except for Bardem, the other four will most likely also be Oscar nomed.
Annette Bening(TKAAR “The Kids Are All Right”)
Carey Mulligan”Never Let Me Go”( superb performance, but not gonna happen stateside. The movie bombed.)
Julianne Moore (TKAAR. Would be a surprise at the Oscar Nom morning, if this happened.)
Michelle Williams “Blue Valentine” ( I sure hope so. This HELPS her.)
Natalie Portman “Black Swan” (of course)
This is a three out of five situation, with Michelle being one of those three + Annette & Natalie. But wait! NO NICOLE KIDMAN! Though she is on the long list, she’s not gotten an asterisk! Uh-oh! And double WTF is Haillee Steinfeld being nominated, on the long list,no asterisk for “True Grit”!?!
This lists perhaps signals that Nicole may not make it into the Oscar Derby. “Rabbit Hole” is dying at the Box-Office, while “True Grit” continues to ride high.
More movement in this category than many have thought, I think. And Jennifer Lawrence is on the Long List here, too. But with no asterisk. Uh-oh.
This piece is getting too long. Will deal with the Supporting categories later! And it’s SNOWING again in New York! Uh-oh!