It seems to me after seeing David Letterman go berserk over Natalie Portman and “The White Swan” that this year’s major Oscar races were over by TIFF. The Toronto International Film Festival 2010 gave its’ People’s Choice Award to “The King’s Speech.” The first two press screenings were for, at the same time of day, 9AM(!) “The King’s Speech” and “The White Swan.” And I’m happy to say I was the first one in line for “The King’s Speech,” having gotten up at 6 AM to get there to line up at 8:15 for the screening at 9.
When everyone saw “The King’s Speech” and “The White Swan” it was clear that Colin Firth was going to win Best Actor and that for “The White Swan” Natalie Portman was going to win Best Actress. And also that “The King’s Speech” was going to also be a very strong contender for Best Picture.
I remember saying to Anne Thompson, of Thompson on Hollywood at www.Indiewire.com , and it was the first time I had ever met her, posing the question “Is it just going to come down to ‘The King’s Speech’ for Best Picture versus ‘The Social Network.'” And y’know, that’s STILL the case three months later…
And what did the wise Anne T say in response?
“I want to see ‘True Grit’.” And we’re all still waiting on that one! Too!
So, nothing has changed since TIFF and Natalie Portman and Colin Firth had already won their Oscars that first morning. TIFF is more important than ever as a launching pad.
And if Helena Bonham Carter and Geoffrey Rush also win for Supporting!?!? Well, then the ENTIRE RACE was decided that cool morning at TIFF!